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Why are some football teams more successful than others? Why did this particular team win in this particular match? And a directly related question - how do bookmakers evaluate teams and set odds for upcoming football matches? Modern football is an interesting dynamic game, which is influenced by a huge number of factors.
The Corner-stats.com team of experts proposes to consider the analysis of a football match based on different levels. We have identified 4 levels of football analysis - from strategic team management to direct decisions during the game, and what came out of it, read in our subsequent publications.
So, the first level of football analysis is the level of the football team development strategy (3-10 years). The team development strategy is determined by the following factors:
- financial resources available to the football club. A FC may receive income from its commercial activities (tickets, merchandise, sponsors, etc.), players sales or investor money. Successful commercial activity allows you to systematically develop the team. And if the club is lucky enough to successfully sell a player or attract a rich investor, then this can fundamentally change the team's development strategy.
- football philosophy of the owner(s) of the club. Some owners consider a football club solely as a business project, others care about what kind of football their team will play and, based on this, the coach and players are selected.
- the quality of football club management. FC managers interact with various stakeholders - fans, investors, players, coaches, agents, sponsors, representatives of football organizations and government bodies. The atmosphere in the team and the prospects for its development depend on the quality of this interaction.
- transfer policy - these are the principles of forming the squad of a football team. Sometimes the team development strategy comes from the transfer policy. For example, when a football club aims to develop its own players with their subsequent sale
- the development of football in the country where the team plays. The quality of the development of the league where the team plays, and football in the country in general, can affect the team both positively and negatively (for example, if the team does not have strong competitors in the league, which reduces the motivation to play at full strength).
In the vast majority of cases, these factors are open and known to both bookmakers and bettors. Based on them, we can quite accurately determine for the next couple of years whether the team will be among the leaders, middle teams or outsiders, as well as approximately what kind of football the team will play. Bookmakers evaluate football teams in a similar way, and according to Corner-stats.com, the decisive factors for bookmakers are the "purse" and the squad of the team.
Bettor may well play only on the basis of the strategy of a football team, in this case, his task is to evaluate the team's strategy better than the bookmaker. That is, we determine for ourselves the development strategy of the football team for the next few years and evaluate how successful it will be. Based on this, we decide whether to bet long-term on the team or against the team.
On the website of professional football statistics Corner-stats.com you can find unique tools for analyzing statistics, including those for determining the success of a team's development strategy. Read more in the Help section.